diff --git a/docs/research/vedastro_live_replay_conflict_2026_07_17.md b/docs/research/vedastro_live_replay_conflict_2026_07_17.md
new file mode 100644
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@@ -0,0 +1,47 @@
+# VedAstro Live Replay Conflict 2026-07-17
+
+## Status
+
+`blocked`: a fresh official VedAstro full snapshot for the public Steve Jobs
+same-chart case does not reproduce the previously recorded D1 longitude packet.
+This report records an external-oracle conflict. It does not authorize prediction
+claims, production tuning, or a three-engine closure claim.
+
+## Reproducible Public Request
+
+- Case: `steve_jobs_public_aa` / `steve_jobs_public_1955_lahiri`
+- Birth time: `19:15 24/02/1955 -08:00`
+- Location: `37.7749, -122.4194`
+- Ayanamsa / node mode: `lahiri` / `mean`
+- Fresh local raw artifact: `scratch/local/vedastro_adapter/official_full_snapshot-1ff276e8fdee-ab172556e932.json`
+- Fresh official raw response SHA-256: `ab172556e9327f55ce5a14d2a2da91c7736690c5181ba59627d0acbf0d1b0ef8`
+- Runner output: `scratch/local/three_engine_parity_vedastro_live/three_engine_parity_replay.json`
+
+## Fresh Result
+
+| metric | value |
+|---|---:|
+| normalized D1 rows | 15 |
+| matches | 9 |
+| mismatches | 5 |
+| blocked rows | 0 |
+
+Mismatched fields: `Sun.longitude`, `Moon.longitude`, `Mars.longitude`,
+`Mercury.longitude`, `Venus.longitude`.
+
+## Conflict Arbitration
+
+The prior commercial manifest referenced a research-local scratch artifact with
+the same visible birth-time request but a different official response hash. The
+fresh official response is authoritative for this run; its mismatch must remain
+visible until the VedAstro endpoint/version/method contract explains the drift.
+Do not replace the old packet with a pass result or tune local calculations to
+match either response.
+
+## Required Next Evidence
+
+1. Capture official API version and method identifiers alongside the raw packet.
+2. Replay the same request after a bounded delay and compare response hashes.
+3. Publish a redacted, versioned public packet only after the response is stable.
+4. Require a fresh normalized 15-row comparison before changing
+   `three_engine_parity_replay_manifest.json` from its current blocked boundary.
diff --git a/references/evidence_manifests/commercial_external_validation_release.v1.json b/references/evidence_manifests/commercial_external_validation_release.v1.json
index fe2453a2..b7121907 100644
--- a/references/evidence_manifests/commercial_external_validation_release.v1.json
+++ b/references/evidence_manifests/commercial_external_validation_release.v1.json
@@ -75,6 +75,12 @@
       "path": "docs/research/vedastro_fast_path_checklist_latest.md",
       "sha256": "7f5ff0242278eca7eacd15e005c15930d8bae6896c79c68547c3f0fbb9ba4a58",
       "scope": "human-readable VedAstro replay prerequisites"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "vedastro_live_replay_conflict_2026_07_17",
+      "path": "docs/research/vedastro_live_replay_conflict_2026_07_17.md",
+      "sha256": "758d21d917f2b5e423afacc49e91653385e3329827ddb5ea7acaa43281e5e0c7",
+      "scope": "fresh official VedAstro same-chart replay conflict boundary"
     }
   ]
 }