From e3f3a1fcdecd7e7fc0ef867e1c56244c72cb2604 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Jesse_Chen Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2026 23:25:22 +0800 Subject: [PATCH] docs(research): accept nadi second-level falsification study (BUG-1240) Normalize results JSON to LF (content identical to the Windows run), add close-ayanamsa N4 supplement, record acceptance. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017eEAG8HD3mm8gsKXgk8uU8 --- docs/BUG_HISTORY.md | 2 +- .../nadi_seconds_results_2026_10_05.json | 26552 ++++++++-------- .../rectification_nadi_seconds_2026_10_05.md | 19 + ...fication-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md | 19 + docs/tasks/README.md | 2 +- 5 files changed, 13316 insertions(+), 13278 deletions(-) diff --git a/docs/BUG_HISTORY.md b/docs/BUG_HISTORY.md index a590bd3f..b07a3453 100644 --- a/docs/BUG_HISTORY.md +++ b/docs/BUG_HISTORY.md @@ -16672,4 +16672,4 @@ - 防复发：再提秒级或纳迪校准时，先复跑这份预登记；不得用看过结果之后新加的规则判过门；不得重调 BUG-1091 已关闭的权重。 - 相关记录：BUG-560、BUG-1090、BUG-1091、BUG-1105、BUG-1141。 - 复发自：无 -- 修复版本：研究分支 `codex/rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005`（未推送、未部署） +- 修复版本：研究分支 `codex/rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005`，2026-10-05 Claude 验收后合入 staging（只有研究脚本与文档，没有运行时改动） diff --git a/docs/research/nadi_seconds_results_2026_10_05.json b/docs/research/nadi_seconds_results_2026_10_05.json index aba1b7d0..2df973df 100644 --- a/docs/research/nadi_seconds_results_2026_10_05.json +++ b/docs/research/nadi_seconds_results_2026_10_05.json @@ -1,13276 +1,13276 @@ -{ - "dataset_sha256": "ab365a3e3f4953d4b538f2c0889dc98ab89444a28340c3a7b29e2a864cdd687a", - "gates": { - "n1": false, - "n2": false, - "n3": false, - "n4_blocks_second_scale_wording": true, - "n5": false - }, - "library_sha256": "ba170f3a0476fc41b3be8ac9f035d2f82575006753eb14992ccf124132be0f94", - "limit": 0, - "n0": { - "audit": { - "cases": 77, - "day_event_total": 244, - "day_events_ge_3": 43, - "day_events_ge_4": 33, - "day_events_ge_5": 19, - "day_events_zero": 4, - "minute_histogram": { - "00": 14, - "05": 2, - "08": 1, - "09": 1, - "10": 2, - "12": 2, - "14": 1, - "15": 5, - "17": 2, - "19": 1, - "20": 3, - "21": 1, - "22": 1, - "24": 1, - "25": 2, - "26": 1, - "28": 2, - "30": 10, - "35": 6, - "36": 1, - "37": 1, - "38": 2, - "40": 1, - "42": 1, - "44": 1, - "45": 2, - "46": 1, - "47": 2, - "50": 3, - "54": 1, - 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"event_rate": 0.106557 + }, + "-30": { + "case_rate": null, + "cases": 73, + "d150_case_rate": 0.589041, + "event_rate": 0.213115 + }, + "-60": { + "case_rate": null, + "cases": 73, + "d150_case_rate": 0.958904, + "event_rate": 0.418033 + }, + "15": { + "case_rate": null, + "cases": 73, + "d150_case_rate": 0.39726, + "event_rate": 0.114754 + }, + "30": { + "case_rate": null, + "cases": 73, + "d150_case_rate": 0.657534, + "event_rate": 0.213115 + }, + "60": { + "case_rate": null, + "cases": 73, + "d150_case_rate": 0.986301, + "event_rate": 0.393443 + } + }, + "wording_ban_second_scale": true + }, + "n5": { + "classical_index_status": "variant_unverified", + "comparisons": { + "N5A": { + "P1": { + "extreme": 9999, + "fraction_grid_explains_all_mean": 0.031362, + "mean": 0.0, + "n": 43, + "p": 1.0, + "pass": false, + "permutations": 9999, + "placebo_mean": 0.272425, + "truth_mean": 0.272425, + "window_mean": 0.279983 + }, + "P2": { + "extreme": 9999, + "fraction_grid_explains_all_mean": 0.031362, + "mean": 0.0, + "n": 43, + "p": 1.0, + "pass": false, + "permutations": 9999, + "placebo_mean": 0.272425, + "truth_mean": 0.272425, + "window_mean": 0.279983 + } + }, + "N5B": { + "P1": { + "extreme": 2223, + "fraction_grid_explains_all_mean": 0.085689, + "mean": 0.024741, + "n": 43, + "p": 0.2224, + "pass": false, + "permutations": 9999, + "placebo_mean": 0.451334, + "truth_mean": 0.476075, + "window_mean": 0.45934 + }, + "P2": { + "extreme": 6410, + "fraction_grid_explains_all_mean": 0.085689, + "mean": -0.013621, + "n": 43, + "p": 0.6411, + "pass": false, + "permutations": 9999, + "placebo_mean": 0.489696, + "truth_mean": 0.476075, + "window_mean": 0.45934 + } + } + }, + "named_text": "blocked", + "named_text_reason": "no legal Chandra Kala Nadi source in the repository", + "pass": false + }, + "prereg_sha256": "dc012dd2b287b28ac2eefb75d5b9050e7788cb09d0064639878a37753ee8c2d3", + "runner_sha256": "3c1af919408c637eead6e43252f6696beec73cb66480d8138a9075d3a8fb8ed6", + "swisseph": "2.10.03" +} diff --git a/docs/research/rectification_nadi_seconds_2026_10_05.md b/docs/research/rectification_nadi_seconds_2026_10_05.md index 26abc5ca..0eaa3e41 100644 --- a/docs/research/rectification_nadi_seconds_2026_10_05.md +++ b/docs/research/rectification_nadi_seconds_2026_10_05.md @@ -121,3 +121,22 @@ python scripts/research/nadi_seconds_run.py ``` 预登记、库、跑数脚本、数据集的 sha256 写在结果 JSON 开头和结尾。本轮分别是 `dc012dd2b287b28ac2eefb75d5b9050e7788cb09d0064639878a37753ee8c2d3`、`ba170f3a0476fc41b3be8ac9f035d2f82575006753eb14992ccf124132be0f94`、`3c1af919408c637eead6e43252f6696beec73cb66480d8138a9075d3a8fb8ed6`、`ab365a3e3f4953d4b538f2c0889dc98ab89444a28340c3a7b29e2a864cdd687a`。同一命令再跑一次，两份结果的 SHA-256 都是 `4f1569c3e8794e0d2c35d244d32b3896e47cf8a1f7d03d16ce01d3f07b51ec69`，逐字节一致。 + +## 10. 验收补充（Claude 2026-10-05，事后，不参与过门） + +**复跑**：在 Linux 上用 Python 3.13 跑同一条命令，耗时约 10 分钟。 + +- 结果与执行方提交的 JSON 逐字段比对，差异为 0。 +- 执行方的文件是在 Windows 上写出的，换行符是 CRLF，所以原来记的 SHA-256 `4f1569c3…` 只在 Windows 上成立。 +- 已把入库文件换成 LF 版本。两份文件去掉 CR 之后，SHA-256 都是 `d64006f3430f5d62c084c51ba3245ac8fe9b90ef45f2b2f09ff3eda40c23789b`。 +- 预登记、库、跑数脚本、数据集四个输入的哈希，与上文 §9 记录的一致。 + +**N4 补充**：预登记里的岁差对比都以 Raman 为起点，而 Raman 和其他三种相差约 1.4°。下面补测三种彼此很接近的岁差。脚本与 N4 相同，记录时间相同，样本是至少有一件日精度事件的 73 例。 + +| 换岁差 | 月亮相差（角分，中位） | 第 4 层事件变化 | 第 5 层事件变化 | 等分 D150 换段 | +| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | +| Lahiri → KP | 5.81 | 0.893 | 0.885 | 29/73 | +| Lahiri → True Chitra | 0.83 | 0.570 | 0.939 | 4/73 | +| KP → True Chitra | 4.98 | 0.910 | 0.848 | 25/73 | + +月亮只差不到 1 角分（Lahiri 与 True Chitra），第 5 层主星就有 94% 的日事件跟着换。可见即使是同一派系里的两种岁差算法，Prana 层的结论也对不上。§1 的文案禁令不依赖 Raman 这个特例，结论不变。 diff --git a/docs/tasks/PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md b/docs/tasks/PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md index 96c7149e..886f4e60 100644 --- a/docs/tasks/PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md +++ b/docs/tasks/PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md @@ -45,3 +45,22 @@ Python 快速门用 `--profile quick --skip-frontend-runtime`。这个工作树 ## 让步 N0、N1、N2、N3、N4、N5 都做了。N3 的 ±30 / ±60 只报告。N6 没有另做图。 + +## Claude 验收（2026-10-05） + +**结论：通过，合入 staging。** BUG-1240 维持 `closed_by_design`，不立实现单。 + +| 项 | 结果 | +| --- | --- | +| 预登记先于结果 | `57480db3` 只含预登记 JSON。它之后 `scripts/` 与 `tests/` 没有改动，最后一次提交只有文档和结果 | +| 预登记与报告一致 | 过门条件（N1 六项全过、N2 下界 > 0、N3 ±10 下界 > 0 且真值 ≥ 76/77、N5 四项全过）和种子，与 §1–§7 逐条对上 | +| 复跑 | Linux 复跑，内容差异 0；字节差异只来自 Windows 换行，已换成 LF 入库（见研究报告 §10） | +| 定向测试 | 新测试加开工那五个文件，131 passed | +| 快速门 `--profile quick --skip-frontend-runtime` | 通过（pytest ✓）。本单没有前端改动 | +| N3 基线 0.325 与已发表 0.64 的差异 | 已核实是口径不同：已发表的是 `probe_supply_after_six.top1_hit`，看的是真值所在簇的代表分钟是否唯一领先；本单看的是全部并列都在记录时间 1 分钟内。比较的是同一次回放，结论成立 | +| 补充 | Lahiri / KP / True Chitra 两两互换的 N4 表，写在报告 §10，结论不变 | + +两处不阻断的意见： + +1. 跑数脚本写结果时没有固定换行符，以后在 Windows 上复跑会得到 CRLF。下次动这个脚本时，写文件改用 `newline="\n"`。这次没改，因为一改脚本哈希就和预登记记录对不上。 +2. N3a 的并列数中位是 8 个，有 23 例超过 25 个。第 5 层是二值规则，挑不出唯一的一秒，这本身就是「秒级」在方法上做不到的一个直接证据。 diff --git a/docs/tasks/README.md b/docs/tasks/README.md index c0abfd7a..37cade69 100644 --- a/docs/tasks/README.md +++ b/docs/tasks/README.md @@ -422,4 +422,4 @@ | `TASK-astrologer-rulings-batch6-20261004.md` | `PROGRESS-astrologer-rulings-batch6-20261004.md` | 第七轮裁定（共享仓书面回复，产品采用；问 1 选 A）：Rath 版双主星按 p.43 (a)–(e)（BUG-1227 解除 blocked，推翻第五批红线 2 的 Table 17 年数底线）；第 5 级宫主度数只倒算计都（p.71 脚注 42）；罗计旺陷 ±1 年；同宫两主比经度；BUG 从 1228 起 | 待验收 | 分支 `codex/astrologer-rulings-batch6-20261004`（BUG-1227～1229；校正分数文件未改、未升版本） | | `TASK-gate-log-volume-20261004.md` | `PROGRESS-gate-log-volume-20261004.md` | 门禁 validate 单步日志 4.4 万行 / 2 MB 网页打不开（run 3170）：快速门只打摘要（失败给末 200 行 + 日志文件）、前端测试门禁上 dot + 失败汇总（本机仍 TAP）、拆分 validate 为 7 个 step（产品授权改 workflow，只限拆分与重定向）；检查一项不少 | **已实现待验收**（BUG-1230；未推送、未部署；Gitea 各 step 页面是否打得开留待推送后由产品确认） | 分支 `codex/gate-log-volume-20261004` | | `TASK-consult-latency-quickwins-20261005.md` | `PROGRESS-consult-latency-quickwins-20261005.md` | 普通对话耗时两项快修：咨询链校正闸不再同步白等 VedAstro 官方快照子进程（每域约 4 s，复用顶层缓存 + 负缓存，不推翻 BUG-301）；补分段计时（第 0/1 步耗时、推理 token、分类耗时进日志与 usage）。推理强度/精简说明待模型 key 另单（BUG-1231、BUG-1232） | 已验收（Claude 10-05 Linux：Python 62 / 前端 24 失败与基线逐名相同，Static、gzip 0%；装 SDK 实测每领域 4.47→1.66 s，剩余 1.33 s 是保留的顶层前台等待；/admin/usage 真机欠） | 分支 `codex/consult-latency-quickwins-20261005` | -| `TASK-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md` | `PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md` | **「纳迪秒级校准」可证伪检验（离线）**：竞品宣传「问前事到天 → 秒级」。本仓主链只用三层小运，Sookshma / Prana 与 D150 从未进评价集；v5 真值 52/77 是整 5 分钟（秒级无真值可对）。N0 五层小运 + D150 底座（前三层与主链对账 0 差）、N1 拟合率 vs 安慰剂日期（核心）、N2 留一件预测、N3 六题后区间内再细分能否提头名、N4 岁差 / 坐标 / 时间扰动的噪声地板、N5 D150 结构层（原文比对 blocked）、N6 结论 + 对外口径草稿。规则先登记再跑；不改生产代码；不得重调 BUG-1091 已关的权重 | 待验收 | 分支 `codex/rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005`（BUG-1240 `closed_by_design`；未推送、未部署） | +| `TASK-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md` | `PROGRESS-rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005.md` | **「纳迪秒级校准」可证伪检验（离线）**：竞品宣传「问前事到天 → 秒级」。本仓主链只用三层小运，Sookshma / Prana 与 D150 从未进评价集；v5 真值 52/77 是整 5 分钟（秒级无真值可对）。N0 五层小运 + D150 底座（前三层与主链对账 0 差）、N1 拟合率 vs 安慰剂日期（核心）、N2 留一件预测、N3 六题后区间内再细分能否提头名、N4 岁差 / 坐标 / 时间扰动的噪声地板、N5 D150 结构层（原文比对 blocked）、N6 结论 + 对外口径草稿。规则先登记再跑；不改生产代码；不得重调 BUG-1091 已关的权重 | 已验收（Claude 10-05：N1/N2/N3/N5 不过门、N4 触发文案禁令；Linux 复跑内容 0 差，结果改 LF；补 Lahiri/KP/True Chitra 对照，月亮差 0.83′ 第 5 层仍换 94%）→ 不立实现单 | 分支 `codex/rectification-nadi-seconds-research-20261005`（BUG-1240 `closed_by_design`） |