from __future__ import annotations import json from pathlib import Path import pytest from scripts.minute_rectification_blind_eval import implementation_sha256, summarize_trials from scripts.rectification.sealed_holdout import holdout_passed, load_sealed_minute_holdout from scripts.research.sealed_holdout_rerun import ( ARCHIVE, DATASET, FREEZE, REPORT, LEGACY_REPORT, PRODUCTION_FILES, file_sha256, freeze_record, historical_comparison, implementation_identity, run, ) ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES = { "scripts/rectification/candidate_window.py", "scripts/rectification/decision_policy.py", "scripts/rectification/refinement_packet.py", "scripts/rectification/api_service.py", } IDENTITY_FORBIDDEN_PREFIXES = ( "references/rectification_sealed_holdout.v1.json", "docs/research/sealed_holdout_rerun_midnight_anchor_2026_09_21", "docs/research/reported_offset_midnight_anchor_2026_09_21", "docs/research/history/", "artifacts/", ) def read(path): return json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) def test_midnight_date_anchor_modules_remain_in_extended_identity(): dataset = read(DATASET) identity = implementation_identity() legacy = set(dataset["frozen_scoring"]["files"]) assert len(legacy) == 12 assert MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES <= set(PRODUCTION_FILES) assert MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES <= set(identity["production_scoring_files"]) assert MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES.isdisjoint(legacy) for path in sorted(MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES): assert (ROOT / path).is_file() assert identity["file_sha256"][path] == file_sha256(ROOT / path) assert not any( path == prefix or path.startswith(prefix) for path in identity["file_sha256"] for prefix in IDENTITY_FORBIDDEN_PREFIXES ) def test_contract_tracks_actual_current_scorer_and_dataset_audit(): dataset = read(DATASET) contract = read(ROOT / "references/rectification_sealed_holdout.v1.json") actual_hash = implementation_sha256(dataset["frozen_scoring"]["files"]) assert contract["current_tree_scorer"]["implementation_sha256"] == actual_hash assert contract["current_tree_scorer"]["extended_identity"] == implementation_identity() historical_contract = read(ARCHIVE / "references/rectification_sealed_holdout.v1.json") runtime_keys = ("status", "valid_public_aa_cases", "required_cases", "top_1_rate", "confirmation_coverage_rate", "sealed_benchmark_id") for key in runtime_keys: assert type(contract[key]) is type(historical_contract[key]) assert contract[key] == historical_contract[key] assert contract["source_audit_status"] == dataset["source_audit_status"] assert contract["evaluated_on"] == read(REPORT)["evaluated_on"] assert contract["status"] == "not_ready" assert contract["confirmation_coverage_rate"] == 0.0 assert holdout_passed(load_sealed_minute_holdout()) is False def test_frozen_record_matches_dataset_scorer_and_evaluator_bytes(): frozen = read(FREEZE) actual = freeze_record() assert {key: value for key, value in frozen.items() if key != "frozen_at_utc"} == { key: value for key, value in actual.items() if key != "frozen_at_utc" } assert frozen["dataset_sha256"] == file_sha256(DATASET) assert len(frozen["files"]) == 12 assert read(DATASET)["frozen_scoring"]["implementation_sha256"] == frozen["historical_frozen_sha256"] assert frozen["extended_identity"] == implementation_identity() assert set(PRODUCTION_FILES) <= set(frozen["extended_identity"]["production_scoring_files"]) assert {"scripts/rectification/scoring_service.py", "scripts/rectification/dasha_transition_proximity.py"} <= set(PRODUCTION_FILES) assert MIDNIGHT_DATE_ANCHOR_PRODUCTION_FILES <= set(PRODUCTION_FILES) for path, digest in frozen["extended_identity"]["file_sha256"].items(): assert digest == file_sha256(ROOT / path) def test_fixed_protocol_rerun_is_auditable_but_never_independent_blind(): report = read(REPORT) contract = read(ROOT / "references/rectification_sealed_holdout.v1.json") scorer = contract["current_tree_scorer"] rerun = contract["current_tree_fixed_protocol_rerun"] assert report["frozen_record"] == read(FREEZE) assert report["frozen_record"]["frozen_at_utc"] <= report["replay_started_at_utc"] <= report["replay_finished_at_utc"] assert scorer["extended_identity"] == report["frozen_record"]["extended_identity"] assert rerun["extended_identity"] == scorer["extended_identity"] assert rerun["freeze_record_path"] == FREEZE.relative_to(ROOT).as_posix() assert report["historical_comparison"] == historical_comparison(LEGACY_REPORT, report["trials"], ("case_ordinal",)) assert report["trial_count"] == len(report["trials"]) == 20 assert report["excluded_cases"] == [] aggregate = summarize_trials(report["trials"], read(DATASET)["release_metrics"]) assert report["metrics"] == aggregate["metrics"] == scorer["metrics"] assert report["metric_gates_passed"] == aggregate["metric_gates_passed"] assert scorer["source_report"] == REPORT.relative_to(ROOT).as_posix() assert scorer["implementation_sha256"] == report["frozen_record"]["implementation_sha256"] assert scorer["fixed_protocol_rerun_trial_count"] == report["trial_count"] assert scorer["fixed_protocol_rerun_hash_matches"] is True assert scorer["official_eval_trial_count"] == report["official_blind_trial_count"] == 0 assert scorer["official_eval_implementation_hash_matches"] is False for item in (rerun, report): assert item["official_valid_independent_blind"] is False assert item["is_blind_evaluation"] is False assert item["truth_hidden_from_ranker"] is True assert item["results_previously_seen"] is True assert item["verified_minute_claim_allowed"] is False assert rerun["must_not_claim_as_release_metrics"] is True assert all(row["event_count"] == 3 for row in report["trials"]) # Never persist actual candidate/truth times or coordinates in report artifacts. for row in report["trials"]: assert not ({"predicted_time", "published_truth_revealed_after_ranking", "latitude", "longitude"} & row.keys()) def test_changed_frozen_identity_fails_before_any_replay(tmp_path, monkeypatch): frozen = read(FREEZE) frozen["implementation_sha256"] = "0" * 64 path = tmp_path / "bad-freeze.json" path.write_text(json.dumps(frozen), encoding="utf-8") def unexpected(*args, **kwargs): raise AssertionError("must reject identity before scoring") monkeypatch.setattr("scripts.research.sealed_holdout_rerun.build_feature_fact_rows", unexpected) with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="frozen_record_mismatch:implementation_sha256"): run(path) @pytest.mark.parametrize("path", ["scripts/rectification/scoring_service.py", "scripts/rectification/dasha_transition_proximity.py"]) def test_extended_identity_drift_rejected_even_when_legacy_hash_unchanged(tmp_path, monkeypatch, path): from scripts.research import sealed_holdout_rerun as replay frozen = replay.freeze_record() freeze_path = tmp_path / "extended-freeze.json" freeze_path.write_text(json.dumps(frozen), encoding="utf-8") original = replay.implementation_identity def changed(dataset=DATASET): actual = original(dataset) actual["file_sha256"][path] = "0" * 64 return actual monkeypatch.setattr(replay, "implementation_identity", changed) def unexpected(*args, **kwargs): raise AssertionError("extended drift must reject before shadow scoring") monkeypatch.setattr(replay, "build_feature_fact_rows", unexpected) assert frozen["implementation_sha256"] == replay.freeze_record()["implementation_sha256"] with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="frozen_record_mismatch:extended_identity"): replay.run(freeze_path) def test_historical_artifacts_are_byte_preserved_not_refreshed(): manifest = read(ARCHIVE / "manifest.json") assert file_sha256(ARCHIVE / "manifest.json") == "6102a26a840be207b5858b3a4c0509274468ae9071e86d308cbbac7371d6864e" assert len(manifest["files"]) == 8 for record in manifest["files"]: archived = ROOT / record["archive_path"] assert archived.stat().st_size == record["size_bytes"] assert file_sha256(archived) == record["sha256"] old_freeze = ROOT / "docs/research/sealed_holdout_rerun_2026_09_20.freeze.json" assert old_freeze.read_bytes() == (ARCHIVE / old_freeze.relative_to(ROOT)).read_bytes() assert file_sha256(old_freeze) == "d17651cb50224acdd1af7a4692c777ed169b216a962a0675371254ce561d0921" assert FREEZE != old_freeze for name, digest in ( ("reported_offset_2026_09_20.json", "9878f2b50c957a470fafcb2ed0a9eb16405c3f6fa422ea50f467e84b0189ace1"), ("sealed_holdout_rerun_2026_09_20.json", "40df220bfcb51a683b31fbd626896e47a5aed7ee4f30ff669543691f7ce53c1e"), ): assert file_sha256(ARCHIVE / "docs/research" / name) == digest