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Jyotisha/docs/research/dasha_shift_per_minute_2026_09_26.json
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Jesse_ChenandClaude Opus 5.5 0f5442cea2 research(rectification): offline R1/R2/R3 — answer-flip tolerance, V1/V2 rerun, dasha shift arithmetic 
- R1: flipping 1 answer keeps truth in range 98-100% but cuts head hit by
  a third or more; 2 flips squeeze truth out in 7-10% of ±30/±60 replays
  (two flips = 8 points = SEPARATION_LEAD).
- R2: weights do apply (research scorer == production at V0); V1/V2 are
  identity at ±30/±60 by construction and leave six-question metrics
  unchanged at ±10 -> no_benefit (measured). Supplementary V1n does not
  pass the gate.
- R3: boundary shift is ~3.8 days/minute (1.3-5.9), not 1.1; the 45-day
  gate is ~8-34 minutes. The _representative_pairs hypothesis is refuted
  (all-pairs adds no dated probes); the bottleneck is monthly evaluation.
  New finding recorded as BUG-1048 (investigating): _boundary_windows
  year-straddle exemption and positional zip misalignment bypass the gate.
- Dated errata appended (no deletions) to the 09-14/09-16 briefs and
  research docs; README board row -> 待验收. No production code, scoring,
  thresholds, gates or Skill changed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017eEAG8HD3mm8gsKXgk8uU8
2026-09-26 14:47:48 +08:00

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{
"generated_at": "2026-09-26",
"nature": "fictional instants only; pure astronomy + repo Vimshottari helper",
"ayanamsa": "raman (swisseph SIDM_RAMAN)",
"dasha_year_days": 365.25,
"samples": 2000,
"seed": 7,
"old_claim": {
"days_per_minute": 1.1,
"vimshottari_days_per_degree": 122.0,
"correct_mean_days_per_degree": 365.25,
"moon_deg_per_minute_mean": 0.00914
},
"analytic_days_per_minute": {
"n": 2000,
"mean": 3.32,
"p0": 1.34,
"p10": 1.58,
"p25": 1.8,
"p50": 3.82,
"p75": 4.54,
"p90": 5.0,
"p100": 5.85
},
"finite_difference_days_per_minute": {
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"p50": 3.82,
"p75": 4.54,
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"p100": 5.85
},
"repo_vim_start_dates_days_per_minute": {
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"p100": 5.75
},
"repo_samples": 299,
"repo_crossed_nakshatra_in_20_min": 1,
"repo_max_spread_days": 1,
"repo_raw_zip_misaligned_share": 0.107,
"by_lord": {
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"years": 7.0
},
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},
"Sun": {
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},
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},
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},
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},
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},
"Saturn": {
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"p50": 4.71,
"p75": 5.11,
"p90": 5.24,
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"years": 19.0
},
"Mercury": {
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"mean": 4.26,
"p0": 3.81,
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"p50": 4.18,
"p75": 4.57,
"p90": 4.8,
"p100": 4.98,
"years": 17.0
}
},
"moon_speed_deg_per_day": {
"n": 2000,
"mean": 13.167,
"p0": 11.769,
"p10": 11.877,
"p25": 12.114,
"p50": 13.048,
"p75": 14.128,
"p90": 14.647,
"p100": 15.386
},
"theoretical_range_days_per_minute": {
"min": 1.34,
"max": 5.85
},
"gate_minutes": {
"gate_45": {
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"mean": 16.9,
"p0": 7.7,
"p10": 9.0,
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"p75": 24.9,
"p90": 28.5,
"p100": 33.5
},
"refresh_30": {
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"p90": 19.0,
"p100": 22.3
}
},
"window_table": [
{
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"mean": 6.6,
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"p10": 3.2,
"p25": 3.6,
"p50": 7.6,
"p75": 9.1,
"p90": 10.0,
"p100": 11.7
},
"share_ge_45_days": 0.0,
"share_ge_30_days": 0.0,
"old_claim_days": 2.2
},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 4,
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"n": 2000,
"mean": 13.3,
"p0": 5.4,
"p10": 6.3,
"p25": 7.2,
"p50": 15.3,
"p75": 18.2,
"p90": 20.0,
"p100": 23.4
},
"share_ge_45_days": 0.0,
"share_ge_30_days": 0.0,
"old_claim_days": 4.4
},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 6,
"boundary_gap_days": {
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"p10": 9.5,
"p25": 10.8,
"p50": 22.9,
"p75": 27.2,
"p90": 30.0,
"p100": 35.1
},
"share_ge_45_days": 0.0,
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"old_claim_days": 6.6
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{
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{
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"p100": 234.1
},
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},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 60,
"boundary_gap_days": {
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"mean": 198.9,
"p0": 80.7,
"p10": 94.6,
"p25": 108.2,
"p50": 229.5,
"p75": 272.3,
"p90": 299.9,
"p100": 351.2
},
"share_ge_45_days": 1.0,
"share_ge_30_days": 1.0,
"old_claim_days": 66.0
}
],
"precision_table": [
{
"evidence": "day_exact",
"span_days": 1.0,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 0.2,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 0.3,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 0.6,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 0.7
},
{
"evidence": "day_pm3",
"span_days": 7.0,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 1.4,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 1.8,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 4.4,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 5.2
},
{
"evidence": "day_pm7",
"span_days": 15.0,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 3.0,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 3.9,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 9.5,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 11.2
},
{
"evidence": "month",
"span_days": 30.44,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 6.1,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 8.0,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 19.3,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 22.6
},
{
"evidence": "gate_45_same_year",
"span_days": 45.0,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 9.0,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 11.8,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 28.5,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 33.5
},
{
"evidence": "year",
"span_days": 365.25,
"min_separable_minutes_p90_shift": 73.1,
"min_separable_minutes_median_shift": 95.5,
"min_separable_minutes_p10_shift": 231.6,
"min_separable_minutes_slowest": 271.7
}
],
"straddle_table": [
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 2,
"boundary_gap_days_median": 7.6,
"p_different_month": 0.251,
"p_different_year": 0.021
},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 6,
"boundary_gap_days_median": 22.9,
"p_different_month": 0.754,
"p_different_year": 0.063
},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 10,
"boundary_gap_days_median": 38.2,
"p_different_month": 1.0,
"p_different_year": 0.105
},
{
"candidate_gap_minutes": 20,
"boundary_gap_days_median": 76.5,
"p_different_month": 1.0,
"p_different_year": 0.209
}
],
"command": "python3 scripts/research/dasha_shift_per_minute.py"
}
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