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Jyotisha/references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v2.json
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{
"schema_version": "minute-rectification-holdout-v2",
"benchmark_id": "minute_rectification_holdout_v2",
"scope": "public_birth_minute_rectification",
"truth_hidden_from_ranker": true,
"frozen_before_replay": true,
"frozen_scoring": {
"algorithm_version": "birth-time-event-scoring-v2",
"implementation_sha256": "153fea0f69d47a241f6692325f254eca8833a8efd529f81493cdea6ee36528aa",
"files": [
"scripts/active_rectification_events.py",
"scripts/active_rectification_event_engine.py",
"scripts/domain_calculation_service.py",
"scripts/dasha_analyzer.py",
"scripts/narayana_dasha.py",
"scripts/varga.py",
"scripts/jaimini.py",
"scripts/ashtakavarga.py",
"scripts/shadbala.py"
],
"tie_breaker": "sha256(benchmark_id:case_id:candidate_time); published minute is never used"
},
"truth_policy": "Only independently published Rodden AA birth-minute records and independently sourced dated life events qualify.",
"negative_control_policy": "Every case includes blinded false-minute candidates on both sides of the published minute, including +/-1 and +/-2 minutes.",
"minimum_gate": {
"public_aa_cases": 20,
"events_per_case": 3,
"domains_per_case": 2,
"independent_event_sources_per_case": 2,
"negative_minutes_per_case": 4
},
"release_metrics": {
"top_1_rate_minimum": 0.6,
"top_3_rate_minimum": 0.85,
"mean_absolute_minute_error_maximum": 2.0,
"false_confirmation_rate_maximum": 0.05,
"correct_insufficient_evidence_rejection_rate_minimum": 0.9
},
"cases": [
{
"case_id": "barack_obama_1961_aa",
"subject_label": "Barack Obama",
"holdout_partition": "sealed_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [-10, -5, -2, -1, 1, 2, 5, 10],
"birth": {
"date": "1961-08-04",
"time": "19:24",
"place": "Honolulu, Hawaii, United States",
"latitude": 21.3069,
"longitude": -157.8583,
"timezone_offset": -10.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/adbvip/adbvip_08_04.htm?lang=r&nho2=161&nhor=1",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "obama_wedding_1992",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1992-10-03",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Michelle Robinson.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Obama Foundation",
"url": "https://obama.org/about/administration/chicago-where-it-began/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_illinois_senate_1996",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1996-11-05",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Elected to the Illinois State Senate.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Obama Foundation",
"url": "https://obama.org/about/administration/chicago-where-it-began/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_presidential_election_2008",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2008-11-04",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Elected President of the United States.",
"source": {
"publisher": "The White House (archived)",
"url": "https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/1600/presidents/barackobama/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
]
}
],
"boundary": "One seeded case is protocol plumbing, not evidence of accuracy. Verified-minute claims remain blocked until at least 20 sealed public AA cases pass all frozen metrics without tuning on their outcomes."
}