Preserve closed confirmation gates and previously-exposed dataset boundaries. Add auditable 900-trial sensitivity results, current scorer freshness checks, and the v5 collection protocol. Co-Authored-By: Claude Code <noreply@anthropic.com>
80 lines
3.6 KiB
JSON
80 lines
3.6 KiB
JSON
{
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"sealed_benchmark_id": "minute_rectification_fact_ranker_v4_holdout_v3",
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"status": "not_ready",
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"valid_public_aa_cases": 20,
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"required_cases": 20,
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"top_1_rate": 0.15,
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"confirmation_coverage_rate": 0.0,
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"previous_pilot_id": "minute_rectification_holdout_v2",
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"dataset_path": "references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v3.json",
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"report_path": "references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v3_report.json",
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"source_audit_status": "corrected_known_date_errors",
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"evaluated_on": "2026-09-20",
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"evaluated_on_scope": "latest_fixed_protocol_rerun_not_historical_runtime_metrics",
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"historical_source_audit_status": "invalidated_after_replay",
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"report_status": "invalidated_after_source_audit",
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"trial_count": 20,
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"top_3_rate": 0.25,
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"mean_absolute_minute_error": 6.95,
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"metrics_produced_by": {
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"implementation_sha256": "f41c298dd6cdcebe7a93e632f7191954be7987f6012ca2a34cecb6e447fbf196",
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"algorithm_version": "birth-time-event-fact-ranker-v4-shadow",
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"implementation_hash_matches_at_replay": true,
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"source_report": "references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v3_report.json",
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"evaluated_on": "2026-07-21"
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},
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"current_tree_scorer": {
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"implementation_sha256": "b15d9ea15227cd58b3097555537fa7c37fb5a993905ada4f5aa04f52de1f8f18",
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"matches_metrics_scorer": false,
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"official_eval_implementation_hash_matches": false,
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"official_eval_trial_count": 0,
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"source_report": "docs/research/sealed_holdout_rerun_2026_09_20.json",
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"fixed_protocol_rerun_trial_count": 20,
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"fixed_protocol_rerun_hash_matches": true,
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"metrics": {
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"top_1_rate": 0.45,
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"top_3_rate": 0.5,
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"mean_absolute_minute_error": 6.45,
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"false_confirmation_rate": 0.0,
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"correct_insufficient_evidence_rejection_rate": 1.0,
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"confirmation_coverage_rate": 0.0
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}
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},
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"current_tree_fixed_protocol_rerun": {
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"evaluated_on": "2026-09-20",
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"report_path": "docs/research/sealed_holdout_rerun_2026_09_20.json",
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"freeze_record_path": "docs/research/sealed_holdout_rerun_2026_09_20.freeze.json",
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"implementation_sha256": "b15d9ea15227cd58b3097555537fa7c37fb5a993905ada4f5aa04f52de1f8f18",
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"scorer_frozen_before_rerun": true,
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"source_audit_status": "corrected_known_date_errors",
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"trial_count": 20,
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"official_valid_independent_blind": false,
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"is_blind_evaluation": false,
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"truth_hidden_from_ranker": true,
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"results_previously_seen": true,
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"must_not_claim_as_release_metrics": true,
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"must_not_use_for_tuning": true,
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"verified_minute_claim_allowed": false,
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"metric_gates_passed": false,
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"events_per_case": 3,
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"boundary": "First current-hash fixed-protocol rerun in this task, not a first independent official blind evaluation. Three-event low-information protocol is not representative of real sessions and is not a mathematical accuracy lower bound. Historical v3/v4 score exposure requires a fresh sealed set."
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},
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"current_tree_unfrozen_diagnostic": {
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"is_blind_evaluation": false,
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"results_already_seen": true,
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"scorer_frozen": false,
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"source_audit_passed": false,
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"must_not_claim_as_release_metrics": true,
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"must_not_use_for_tuning": true,
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"report_path": "references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v3_post_audit_diagnostic_report.json",
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"implementation_sha256": "99730c84c6434f52669a05e4d9a4a87df0a218e3237b5436b933252f2028384e",
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"trial_count": 20,
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"top_1_rate": 0.45,
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"top_3_rate": 0.5,
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"mean_absolute_minute_error": 5.8,
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"confirmation_coverage_rate": 0.0,
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"metric_gates_passed": false,
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"verified_minute_claim_allowed": false
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}
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}
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