Files
Jyotisha/references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v4.json
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jesse-ux 2d2467dca1
Independent Staging Quality Gate / validate (push) Failing after 9m27s
Independent Staging Quality Gate / publish (push) Skipped
docs(research): measure minute-resolution scoring; no variant clears all radii
Build holdout v4 from the public AA set, correct the two v3 dates, and sweep
R1–R5 plus pairs offline. No production scoring defaults change. No
implementation brief: delivered width stays the full window on every radius.
2026-09-14 20:43:27 +08:00

2553 lines
81 KiB
JSON

{
"schema_version": "minute-rectification-holdout-v4",
"benchmark_id": "minute_rectification_scale_holdout_v4",
"description": "Public Rodden-AA minute set with at least 7 dated events and 4 domains per case, scored at \u00b110 / \u00b130 / \u00b160. Open evaluation for scoring-scale research, not a sealed blind release gate.",
"truth_hidden_from_ranker": false,
"frozen_before_replay": false,
"source_audit_status": "public_biography_expansion_2026_09_14",
"ayanamsa": "raman",
"node_mode": "mean",
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"minimum_gate": {
"public_aa_cases": 20,
"events_per_case": 7,
"domains_per_case": 4
},
"v3_date_corrections": [
{
"event_id": "robbins_marriage_1968",
"submitted": "1968",
"working": "1967-03-10"
},
{
"event_id": "takamoto_joined_disney_1947",
"submitted": "1947",
"working": "1945"
}
],
"parent_dataset": "references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v3.json",
"cases": [
{
"case_id": "barack_obama_1961_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Barack Obama",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1961-08-04",
"time": "19:24",
"place": "Honolulu, Hawaii, United States",
"latitude": 21.3069,
"longitude": -157.8583,
"timezone_offset": -10.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/adbvip/adbvip_08_04.htm?lang=r&nho2=161&nhor=1",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "obama_columbia_1983",
"domain": "education",
"date": "1983",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Graduated from Columbia University.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_chicago_1985",
"domain": "relocation",
"date": "1985",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Moved to Chicago as a community organizer.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Barack-Obama",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_harvard_law_1991",
"domain": "education",
"date": "1991",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Graduated from Harvard Law School.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_wedding_1992_v4",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1992-10-03",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Michelle Robinson.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Obama Foundation",
"url": "https://obama.org/about/administration/chicago-where-it-began/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_illinois_senate_1996_v4",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1996-11-05",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Elected to the Illinois State Senate.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illinois_Senate_career_of_Barack_Obama",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_malia_1998",
"domain": "family",
"date": "1998-07-04",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Daughter Malia was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malia_Obama",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_us_senate_2004",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2004-11-02",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Elected to the United States Senate.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_United_States_Senate_election_in_Illinois",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "obama_presidential_election_2008_v4",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2008-11-04",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Elected President of the United States.",
"source": {
"publisher": "White House Archives",
"url": "https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/1600/presidents/barackobama/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "19:24",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "angelina_jolie_1975_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Angelina Jolie",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1975-06-04",
"time": "09:09",
"place": "Los Angeles, California, United States",
"latitude": 34.0961,
"longitude": -118.2944,
"timezone_offset": -7.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Jolie%2C_Angelina",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "jolie_gia_1998",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1998",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Starred in the television film Gia.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angelina_Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_oscar_2000",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2000-03-26",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Won the Academy Award for supporting actress.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences",
"url": "https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2000",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_thornton_2000",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2000-05-05",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Billy Bob Thornton.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Angelina-Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_maddox_2002",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2002-03-10",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Adopted Maddox from Cambodia.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angelina_Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_shiloh_2006",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2006-05-27",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Daughter Shiloh was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shiloh_Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_mastectomy_2013",
"domain": "health_pressure",
"date": "2013",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Underwent preventive double mastectomy treatment.",
"source": {
"publisher": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/14/opinion/my-medical-choice.html",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_marriage_2014",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2014-08-23",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Brad Pitt.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Angelina-Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "jolie_divorce_filed_2016",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2016-09-19",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Filed for divorce from Brad Pitt.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angelina_Jolie",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "09:09",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "tiger_woods_1975_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Tiger Woods",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1975-12-30",
"time": "22:50",
"place": "Long Beach, California, United States",
"latitude": 33.7667,
"longitude": -118.1833,
"timezone_offset": -8.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Woods%2C_Tiger",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "woods_stanford_1994",
"domain": "education",
"date": "1994",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Enrolled at Stanford University.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiger_Woods",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_turned_professional_1996",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1996",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Turned professional as a golfer.",
"source": {
"publisher": "PGA Tour",
"url": "https://www.pgatour.com/player/08793/tiger-woods/bio",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_masters_1997",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1997-04-13",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Won the Masters Tournament.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Masters_Tournament",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_marriage_2004",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2004-10-05",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Elin Nordegren.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Tiger-Woods",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_sam_2007",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2007-06-18",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Daughter Sam was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiger_Woods",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_divorce_2010",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2010-08-23",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Divorce from Elin Nordegren was finalized.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiger_Woods",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "woods_car_crash_2021",
"domain": "health_pressure",
"date": "2021-02-23",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Sustained serious injuries in a motor-vehicle crash.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiger_Woods",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "22:50",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "elizabeth_taylor_1932_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Elizabeth Taylor",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1932-02-27",
"time": "02:30",
"place": "London, England",
"latitude": 51.5,
"longitude": -0.1667,
"timezone_offset": 0.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Taylor%2C_Elizabeth",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "taylor_moved_us_1939",
"domain": "relocation",
"date": "1939",
"precision": "year",
"description": "The family moved from London to the United States.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Elizabeth-Taylor-American-actress",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_national_velvet_1944",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1944",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Starred in National Velvet.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Taylor",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_first_marriage_1950",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1950-05-06",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Conrad Hilton Jr.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Elizabeth-Taylor-American-actress",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_first_child_1953",
"domain": "family",
"date": "1953-01-06",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Her first child was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Taylor",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_oscar_1961",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1961-04-17",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Won the Academy Award for Butterfield 8.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences",
"url": "https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/1961",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_burton_marriage_1964",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1964-03-15",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Richard Burton.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Taylor",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "taylor_brain_surgery_1997",
"domain": "health_pressure",
"date": "1997",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Underwent surgery for a benign brain tumor.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Elizabeth-Taylor-American-actress/Final-films-and-HIV-AIDS-activism",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "02:30",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "elizabeth_montgomery_1933_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Elizabeth Montgomery",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1933-04-15",
"time": "16:38",
"place": "Los Angeles, California, United States",
"latitude": 34.05,
"longitude": -118.25,
"timezone_offset": -8.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Montgomery%2C_Elizabeth",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "montgomery_academy_1951",
"domain": "education",
"date": "1951",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Studied at the American Academy of Dramatic Arts.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Montgomery",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_first_marriage_1954",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1954",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Married Frederick Gallatin Cammann.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Montgomery",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_marriage_asher_1963",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1963",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Married producer William Asher.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Montgomery",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_bewitched_1964",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1964-09-17",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Bewitched premiered on television.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bewitched",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_william_jr_1964",
"domain": "family",
"date": "1964-07-24",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Son William Asher Jr. was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Montgomery",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_moved_into_series_fame_1964b",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1966",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Won a Golden Globe for Bewitched.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_Montgomery",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "montgomery_cancer_1995",
"domain": "health_pressure",
"date": "1995",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Was diagnosed with colorectal cancer and died later that year.",
"source": {
"publisher": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/1995/05/19/obituaries/elizabeth-montgomery-62-star-of-the-tv-comedy-bewitched.html",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "16:38",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "pablo_picasso_1881_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Pablo Picasso",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1881-10-25",
"time": "23:15",
"place": "Malaga, Spain",
"latitude": 36.7167,
"longitude": -4.4167,
"timezone_offset": -0.29444,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Picasso%2C_Pablo",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record"
}
},
"events": [
{
"id": "picasso_llotja_1895",
"domain": "education",
"date": "1895",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Entered the School of Fine Arts in Barcelona.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Pablo-Picasso",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_moved_paris_1904",
"domain": "relocation",
"date": "1904",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Settled permanently in Paris.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Encyclopaedia Britannica",
"url": "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Pablo-Picasso/Blue-Period",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_demoiselles_1907",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1907",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Painted Les Demoiselles d'Avignon.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Museum of Modern Art",
"url": "https://www.moma.org/collection/works/79766",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_marriage_1918",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1918-07-12",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Olga Khokhlova.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pablo_Picasso",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_paulo_1921",
"domain": "family",
"date": "1921-02-04",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Son Paulo was born.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paulo_Picasso",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_guernica_1937",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1937",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Created and exhibited Guernica.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Museum of Modern Art",
"url": "https://www.moma.org/collection/works/79018",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "picasso_jacqueline_1961",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1961-03-02",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Married Jacqueline Roque.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pablo_Picasso",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "23:15",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "sigmund_freud_1856_aa_v4_holdout",
"subject_label": "Sigmund Freud",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
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{
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"source": {
"publisher": "Animation Magazine",
"url": "https://www.animationmagazine.net/2007/01/animation-legend-iwao-takamoto-dies/",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "takamoto_marriage_farber_1964",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "1964",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Married Barbara Farber.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iwao_Takamoto",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "takamoto_scooby_1969",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1969",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Scooby-Doo, Where Are You! premiered with his character design.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scooby-Doo,_Where_Are_You!",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "takamoto_heart_attack_2007",
"domain": "health_pressure",
"date": "2007-01-08",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Died following a heart attack.",
"source": {
"publisher": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/10/arts/10takamoto.html",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "20:00",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
}
],
"boundary": "Not a sealed blind holdout. Events are public biographies. Do not mix these numbers with upstream true-node runs."
}