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research(rectification): holdout v5 checkpoint 3 — 57 new cases, 77 total

Browse Source 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017eEAG8HD3mm8gsKXgk8uU8
This commit is contained in:
Jesse_Chen
2026-09-29 19:52:18 +08:00
co-authored by Claude Fable 5.1
parent a63f67975d
commit 313012ea1a
3 changed files with 453 additions and 13 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files
references/real_case_calibration/holdout_v5_roster.json
+34
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@@ -9,6 +9,40 @@
"privacy": "public figures only; no real users, collaborators or their relatives"
},
"cases": [
{
"case_id": "adriana_lima_1981_aa_v5_holdout",
"subject_label": "Adriana Lima",
"wikipedia_title": "Adriana Lima",
"birth": {
"date": "1981-06-12",
"time": "16:50",
"place": "Salvador, Brazil",
"latitude": -12.9667,
"longitude": -38.5,
"timezone_offset": -3.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Lima,_Adriana",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record",
"collector": "Astrodienst",
"verified_via": {
"publisher": "Astro-Seek famous-people mirror of Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://famouspeople.astro-seek.com/birth-chart/adriana-lima-horoscope",
"note": "astro.com blocked automated access on 2026-09-29; rating and birth data read from the mirror page"
}
}
},
"checks": {
"timezone_zone": "America/Bahia",
"timezone_zoneinfo_offset": -3.0,
"timezone_mirror_offset": -3.0,
"timezone_rule": "zoneinfo_match",
"timezone_agrees": true,
"place_geocode": "Salvador, Bahia, Região Nordeste, Brasil",
"place_distance_km": 2.7
}
},
{
"case_id": "agatha_christie_1890_aa_v5_holdout",
"subject_label": "Agatha Christie",
references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v5.json
+245 -13
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@@ -29,21 +29,21 @@
"privacy": "public figures only; no real users, collaborators or their relatives"
},
"summary": {
"cases": 76,
"cases": 77,
"inherited_from_v4": 20,
"events_total": 953,
"events_total": 966,
"events_by_precision": {
"day": 243,
"month": 139,
"year": 571
"day": 244,
"month": 143,
"year": 579
},
"events_by_domain": {
"career": 317,
"career": 321,
"education": 117,
"family": 128,
"finance": 33,
"family": 131,
"finance": 35,
"health_pressure": 97,
"relationship": 189,
"relationship": 193,
"relocation": 72
},
"decades": {
@@ -59,15 +59,15 @@
"1950s": 4,
"1960s": 10,
"1970s": 8,
"1980s": 8,
"1980s": 9,
"1990s": 1
},
"latitude_bands": {
"25to45": 44,
"gt45": 19,
"lt25": 13
"lt25": 14
},
"southern_hemisphere": 11,
"southern_hemisphere": 12,
"night_birth_22_to_02": 9,
"utc_plus_8": 5,
"countries": {
@@ -75,7 +75,7 @@
"Australia": 1,
"Austrian Empire": 1,
"Belgium": 1,
"Brazil": 6,
"Brazil": 7,
"England": 2,
"France": 7,
"Germany": 2,
@@ -2766,6 +2766,238 @@
"utc_plus_8": false
}
},
{
"case_id": "adriana_lima_1981_aa_v5_holdout",
"subject_label": "Adriana Lima",
"holdout_partition": "open_scale_evaluation",
"excluded_from_tuning": true,
"inherited_from_v4": false,
"candidate_radius_minutes": 10,
"false_minute_offsets": [
-10,
-5,
-2,
-1,
1,
2,
5,
10
],
"birth": {
"date": "1981-06-12",
"time": "16:50",
"place": "Salvador, Brazil",
"latitude": -12.9667,
"longitude": -38.5,
"timezone_offset": -3.0,
"source": {
"publisher": "Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://www.astro.com/astro-databank/Lima,_Adriana",
"rodden_rating": "AA",
"record_type": "birth_record",
"collector": "Astrodienst",
"verified_via": {
"publisher": "Astro-Seek famous-people mirror of Astro-Databank",
"url": "https://famouspeople.astro-seek.com/birth-chart/adriana-lima-horoscope",
"note": "astro.com blocked automated access on 2026-09-29; rating and birth data read from the mirror page"
}
}
},
"checks": {
"timezone_zone": "America/Bahia",
"timezone_zoneinfo_offset": -3.0,
"timezone_mirror_offset": -3.0,
"timezone_rule": "zoneinfo_match",
"timezone_agrees": true,
"place_geocode": "Salvador, Bahia, Região Nordeste, Brasil",
"place_distance_km": 2.7
},
"strata": {
"decade": "1980s",
"latitude_band": "lt25",
"hemisphere": "south",
"night_birth_22_to_02": false,
"utc_plus_8": false
},
"events": [
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_1997_09",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1997-09",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Runway debut at Anna Sui's New York Fashion Week show.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima made her runway debut at Anna Sui's New York Fashion Week show in September 1997.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_1999",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1999",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Victoria's Secret Fashion Show debut.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "She was a Victoria's Secret Angel from 2000 to 2018, having made her Victoria's Secret Fashion Show debut in 1999, making her the longest-running Victoria's Secret Angel and model.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_2008_02",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2008-02",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Chosen as the face of Liverpool department stores.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In February 2008, she was chosen to be the face of Mexico's Liverpool department store chain and launched the partnership with a press conference, runway show, and a summer campaign.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_2009",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2009",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Returned to the high fashion runway for Givenchy.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima returned to the high fashion runway in 2009, walking for Givenchy.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2009",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2009",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Married Marko Jarić on Valentine's Day.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "On Valentine's Day 2009, in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Lima married Serbian NBA player Marko Jarić.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2012",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2012",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Gave birth to her second child.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2012, she opened the show for the 5th time less than two months after giving birth to her second child.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_finance_2012",
"domain": "finance",
"date": "2012",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Ranked 4th on the Forbes top-earning models list.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima is currently ranked by models.com as one of the \"Legends.\" In 2012, she came in 4th place on the Forbes top-earning models list, estimated to have earned $7.3 million in one year.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2015",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2015",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Father died.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Despite this, Lima has expressed appreciation for her time spent with her father before his death in 2015.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_finance_2015",
"domain": "finance",
"date": "2015",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Ranked 2nd on the Forbes list with earnings of $9 million.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2015, she came in 2nd place with earnings of $9 million.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2016_03",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2016-03",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Divorced Marko Jarić.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "They were divorced in March 2016.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2019",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2019",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Relationship with Emir Uyar.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2019 Lima was in relationship with Emir Uyar, a Turkish businessman.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2022_08",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2022-08",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Gave birth to a son.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In August 2022, Lima gave birth to their son.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2024_12_17",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2024-12-17",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Announced marriage to Lemmers.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "On 17 December 2024, Lima announced on Instagram that she married Lemmers, writing: \"oficcially [sic] Mrs Lima Lemmers.\" As of 2025, Lima resides in Los Angeles.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
],
"candidate_radii_minutes": [
10,
30,
60
],
"true_minute": "16:50",
"true_cluster_note": "Cluster membership depends on the scoring variant and radius; recorded in the sweep results."
},
{
"case_id": "agatha_christie_1890_aa_v5_holdout",
"subject_label": "Agatha Christie",
references/real_case_calibration/minute_rectification_holdout_v5_events.json
+174
View File
@@ -1,4 +1,178 @@
{
"adriana_lima_1981_aa_v5_holdout": {
"wikipedia_title": "Adriana Lima",
"events": [
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_1997_09",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1997-09",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Runway debut at Anna Sui's New York Fashion Week show.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima made her runway debut at Anna Sui's New York Fashion Week show in September 1997.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_1999",
"domain": "career",
"date": "1999",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Victoria's Secret Fashion Show debut.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "She was a Victoria's Secret Angel from 2000 to 2018, having made her Victoria's Secret Fashion Show debut in 1999, making her the longest-running Victoria's Secret Angel and model.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_2008_02",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2008-02",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Chosen as the face of Liverpool department stores.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In February 2008, she was chosen to be the face of Mexico's Liverpool department store chain and launched the partnership with a press conference, runway show, and a summer campaign.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2009",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2009",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Married Marko Jarić on Valentine's Day.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "On Valentine's Day 2009, in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Lima married Serbian NBA player Marko Jarić.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_career_2009",
"domain": "career",
"date": "2009",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Returned to the high fashion runway for Givenchy.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima returned to the high fashion runway in 2009, walking for Givenchy.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2012",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2012",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Gave birth to her second child.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2012, she opened the show for the 5th time less than two months after giving birth to her second child.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2015",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2015",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Father died.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Despite this, Lima has expressed appreciation for her time spent with her father before his death in 2015.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2016_03",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2016-03",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Divorced Marko Jarić.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "They were divorced in March 2016.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2019",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2019",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Relationship with Emir Uyar.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2019 Lima was in relationship with Emir Uyar, a Turkish businessman.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_family_2022_08",
"domain": "family",
"date": "2022-08",
"precision": "month",
"description": "Gave birth to a son.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In August 2022, Lima gave birth to their son.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_relationship_2024_12_17",
"domain": "relationship",
"date": "2024-12-17",
"precision": "day",
"description": "Announced marriage to Lemmers.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "On 17 December 2024, Lima announced on Instagram that she married Lemmers, writing: \"oficcially [sic] Mrs Lima Lemmers.\" As of 2025, Lima resides in Los Angeles.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_finance_2012",
"domain": "finance",
"date": "2012",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Ranked 4th on the Forbes top-earning models list.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "Lima is currently ranked by models.com as one of the \"Legends.\" In 2012, she came in 4th place on the Forbes top-earning models list, estimated to have earned $7.3 million in one year.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
},
{
"id": "adriana_lima_1981_finance_2015",
"domain": "finance",
"date": "2015",
"precision": "year",
"description": "Ranked 2nd on the Forbes list with earnings of $9 million.",
"source": {
"publisher": "Wikipedia",
"url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adriana_Lima",
"quote": "In 2015, she came in 2nd place with earnings of $9 million.",
"independent_of_birth_source": true
}
}
]
},
"agatha_christie_1890_aa_v5_holdout": {
"wikipedia_title": "Agatha Christie",
"events": [